Match the prediction to your pool.
For a winner pool, read the moneyline predictions. For a pool that uses a handicap, read the against-the-spread predictions. If your pool includes total-points selections, use the Over/Under board at the matching total. Check your pool’s own deadlines, line, overtime, and push rules.
Published sides and reference lines are saved before kickoff. Jevan’s percentage describes its estimate for that particular outcome; our track record shows what actually happened.
Which picks should I use for a straight-up NFL pool?
Use the moneyline board. Each selection predicts the outright winner, including overtime. The recorded betting price is a reference; it does not determine which team Jevan selects.
Which picks should I use for a spread-based office pool?
Use the ATS board and check the exact spread. A prediction for a favorite at minus 3.5 does not answer the same question as that team at minus 7. Pool rules may also treat pushes differently.
Which picks should I use for an Over/Under pool?
Use the totals board at your pool’s exact combined-points line. Our forecast includes overtime, and equality is a push. Check your pool’s own grading rules.
Are these optimized for betting value?
No. Jevan predicts which outcome is more likely. Choosing the likeliest winner differs from maximizing profit at a betting price, or maximizing a pool payout against other players.
Can I combine ATS, moneyline, and Over/Under confidence rankings?
Keep the rankings separate. ATS and Over/Under probabilities are conditional on no push. Moneyline probability is an outright win estimate, with ties treated separately. None is a guarantee or a measured win rate.
Read the evidence review, learning, and grading methodology ↗