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Jevan · Outright winner predictions
A moneyline pick predicts which team wins the game, including overtime. Jevan makes a separate outright-win forecast and records the odds before publishing an eligible selection.
Sun, 1:00 PM EDT · Recorded American odds · Includes overtime
Jevan estimate: 77.9% outright win probability.
Odds captured Sep 29, 2026, 12:26 PM EDT. A tied game returns the one-unit stake.
PENDING RESULTEarlier versions remain visible. Only the final version is graded.
Three factors behind the forecast
AI evidence summary · Based on the information supplied to Jevan, not its internal reasoning. Written Sep 29, 2026, 2:57 PM EDT.
Jevan selects the team it estimates is most likely to win outright. It does not choose picks for betting value or expected profit. For straight-up office pools, use this winner prediction; for spread pools, use the separate ATS board.
Positive odds show profit per 100 risked: +150 returns 1.50 units of profit on a one-unit winning pick. Negative odds show how much must be risked to profit 100: −200 returns 0.50 units of profit on a one-unit winning pick.
Our record always risks one unit per pick, uses the original recorded price, counts a loss as −1 unit, and refunds a tied final. These are grading conventions for our research record; sportsbook rules and live prices can differ.
A run of short-priced favorites may have a high win rate and still lose units. We show moneyline net units and ROI alongside the number of graded picks, keeping every loss in the record.
Inspect the moneyline record ↗Published pregame picks
Returns use graded picks with valid captured odds. Pending games are excluded from settled returns; tie refunds are excluded from win rate. A model estimate and a small sample do not establish an edge.
A team can win a game without covering its spread. Jevan does not reuse ATS cover probability as a win probability. Its moneyline analysis estimates outright home wins, away wins, and ties separately; its spread analysis applies to an exact handicap.
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