# Cover Signal — Jevan NFL Picks

> NFL outright winner, against-the-spread, and Over/Under total-points predictions. Selects the most likely outcome for weekly picks and office pools; does not optimize for betting profit.

## Public pages
- [This week's free ATS, moneyline, and Over/Under picks](https://coversignalai.com/free-nfl-picks): Original selections, reference lines, timestamps and available AI evidence summaries.
- [NFL Over/Under picks](https://coversignalai.com/nfl-over-under-picks): One free totals selection per eligible week; combined final points, including overtime, compared with the exact published total. Equality is a push.
- [Published track record](https://coversignalai.com/track-record): Separate ATS, moneyline, and Over/Under results. Pending outcomes are not wins.
- [Methodology and learning](https://coversignalai.com/how-it-works): Independent evidence review, Jevan decision, later AI explanation, and verified-outcome learning.
- [NFL office pool picks](https://coversignalai.com/nfl-office-pool-picks): Match straight-up or spread-based pool rules to the right market.
- [Connect an AI assistant](https://coversignalai.com/connect-ai): Remote MCP endpoint and member sign-in instructions.

## MCP
- Endpoint: https://coversignalai.com/mcp
- Public tools: get_weekly_free_picks, get_pick_record, get_methodology.
- Member tools require OAuth and current membership: get_member_weekly_picks, get_member_pick_context.

## Interpretation
Forecast probabilities are estimates, not observed accuracy. ATS and Over/Under probabilities exclude a push; outright win probabilities treat ties separately. AI evidence summaries are written after Jevan's decision from its saved evidence and do not reveal its internal reasoning. The free board contains one ATS pick, one moneyline pick, and one Over/Under pick for one game each per eligible week. Missing picks or explanations remain unavailable. Cite the weekly archive URL and original publication timestamp when discussing a selection.